DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc.
bearish · high conviction REVERSAL track record → $367.83 -4.56 (-1.2%) +0.0% since callFactor Model (net -1.2)
Factor Model
net -1.2 3.1 / 10Domino's Misses Q1 Earnings and Sales Estimates
Watch: Monitor upcoming quarterly same-store sales and delivery segment updates to assess Domino's ability to stabilize growth amid macro pressure.
Domino's Pizza reported Q1 earnings of $4.13 per share versus consensus of $4.28 and sales of $1.151 billion below the $1.163 billion estimate. The company issued a softer U.S. same-store sales outlook of 0.9%, missing expectations for 2.3% growth. Shares declined roughly 4% in pre-market trading on April 27, 2026.
The earnings and same-store sales misses signal a slowdown in Domino's growth momentum that challenges previously bullish institutional views and pressures near-term valuation.
Event Predictions
DPZ earnings likely to disappoint; analyst consensus uniformly bearish
Thesis
DPZ faces a bearish earnings setup with 12 recent analyst downgrades, zero upgrades, and estimate revisions down 0.7%. Insiders have sold $3.05M with zero buys over 90 days, signaling caution ahead of the event. The stock is already down 1.14% in 1w and underperforming SPY by 5.0%, with a 50% sell-the-news probability given proximity to 52w highs. Analyst consensus is uniformly negative, and no positive earnings history exists to anchor upside expectations.
Evidence
7 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Recent transactions
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