DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc.

bearish · high conviction REVERSAL track record → $367.83 -4.56 (-1.2%) +0.0% since call
Get emailed when DPZ changes direction
Mkt Cap $12B P/E 21.0 fwd 17.2 52wk $346.31 - $499.08 3h ago
Insider selling: $28,094,590 sold by 22 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -0.7%
Next event: Upcoming event (est. 4–8% move)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -1.2)

Factor Model

net -1.2 3.1 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Domino's Misses Q1 Earnings and Sales Estimates

Watch: Monitor upcoming quarterly same-store sales and delivery segment updates to assess Domino's ability to stabilize growth amid macro pressure.

Domino's Pizza reported Q1 earnings of $4.13 per share versus consensus of $4.28 and sales of $1.151 billion below the $1.163 billion estimate. The company issued a softer U.S. same-store sales outlook of 0.9%, missing expectations for 2.3% growth. Shares declined roughly 4% in pre-market trading on April 27, 2026.

The earnings and same-store sales misses signal a slowdown in Domino's growth momentum that challenges previously bullish institutional views and pressures near-term valuation.

$367.83 2026-04-27

Event Predictions

bearish DPZ Q1 2026 earnings on 2026-04-27
tomorrow

DPZ earnings likely to disappoint; analyst consensus uniformly bearish

+0.0% $367.83 → $367.83
Thesis

DPZ faces a bearish earnings setup with 12 recent analyst downgrades, zero upgrades, and estimate revisions down 0.7%. Insiders have sold $3.05M with zero buys over 90 days, signaling caution ahead of the event. The stock is already down 1.14% in 1w and underperforming SPY by 5.0%, with a 50% sell-the-news probability given proximity to 52w highs. Analyst consensus is uniformly negative, and no positive earnings history exists to anchor upside expectations.

Evidence

3h ago TD Cowen reit DPZ: Hold → Hold
Updated Saturday JP Morgan main DPZ: Overweight → Overweight
5d ago Morgan Stanley main DPZ: Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
7d ago Benchmark main DPZ: Buy → Buy
11d ago UBS main DPZ: Buy → Buy
12d ago RBC Capital main DPZ: Sector Perform → Sector Perform
7 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Domino's Pizza, Inc. Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Mkt Cap
$12B
P/E
21.0 fwd 17.2
Beta
1.19
Div Yield
215.00%
52w Range
$346.31 - $499.08
Short Interest
3.4M 11.54%
Days to Cover
3.4 +73%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-2.2%
1w return
-1.1%
Insiders
selling 0B / 5S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$4.44 -0.7% 30d 0up / 12dn
Est. Dispersion
6% 23 analysts
Analyst Target
$462 $340 - $601
Options P/C
0.68
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 11S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Two Sigma, Renaissance, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$1.5B +6% YoY
FCF
$176M
Gross Margin
40%
Op Margin
19%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Berkshire $1.4B
Citadel $194M
Two Sigma $23M
Renaissance $19M
D.E. Shaw $8M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 111
net selling · $28,094,590 sold
22 insiders · 111 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
GARCIA KELLY E · exercise · $260,788
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · sell · $292,617
PARRISH JESSICA L · sell · $37,045
REDDY SANDEEP · sell · $220,823
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · sell · $697,302
PARRISH JESSICA L · sell · $228,172
REDDY SANDEEP · sell · $1,182,416
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · award
GARCIA KELLY E · award
PARRISH JESSICA L · award
GARRIDO FRANK · award
PITTENGER MAUREEN · award
TRUMBULL KATHERINE E · award
MULALLY RYAN K · award
NG WEIKING · award
BALSON ANDREW B · award
REDDY SANDEEP · award
WEINER RUSSELL J · award
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGH · award
BRANDON DAVID A. · award
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · award
GARCIA KELLY E · award
PARRISH JESSICA L · award
GARRIDO FRANK · award
TRUMBULL KATHERINE E · award
MULALLY RYAN K · award
NG WEIKING · award
REDDY SANDEEP · award
WEINER RUSSELL J · award
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGH · award
GARCIA KELLY E · sell · $2,113,888
GARCIA KELLY E · exercise · $819,183
GOLDMAN JAMES A · sell · $451,494
WEINER RUSSELL J · other
PARRISH JESSICA L · award
KRAMER STEPHEN HOWARD · award
BALLARD CHARLES ANDREW · sell · $199,651
GOLDMAN JAMES A · sell · $186,645
BALSON ANDREW B · award
GOLDMAN JAMES A · award
BALLARD CHARLES ANDREW · award
BARRY CORIE S · award
CAFRITZ DIANE LONG · award
LOPEZ-GARCIA PATRICIA E · award
FEDERICO RICHARD L · award
BRANDON DAVID A. · award
NG WEIKING · award
REDDY SANDEEP · sell · $184,410
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · sell · $109,800
MORRIS KEVIN SCOTT · sell · $2,366,792
MORRIS KEVIN SCOTT · exercise · $685,699
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · award
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · sell · $384,568
GARCIA KELLY E · award
PARRISH JESSICA L · award
GARRIDO FRANK · award
PITTENGER MAUREEN · award
TRUMBULL KATHERINE E · award
REDDY SANDEEP · award
REDDY SANDEEP · sell · $109,691
WEINER RUSSELL J · award
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGH · award
BRANDON DAVID A. · award
GARCIA KELLY E · sell · $917,923
REDDY SANDEEP · sell · $477,326
BALSON ANDREW B · sell · $2,954,752
GOLDMAN JAMES A · sell · $646,056
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · award
GARCIA KELLY E · award
GARRIDO FRANK · award
REDDY SANDEEP · award
WEINER RUSSELL J · award
JORDAN JOSEPH HUGH · award
MORRIS KEVIN SCOTT · award
BALSON ANDREW B · award
MORRIS KEVIN SCOTT · sell · $1,214,514
CANTOR DIANA F · sell · $1,366,594
MORRIS KEVIN SCOTT · sell · $91,800
GOLDMAN JAMES A · sell · $228,330
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · sell · $150,500
TRUMBULL KATHERINE E · award
BALSON ANDREW B · other
BALSON ANDREW B · sell · $2,985,016
GOLDMAN JAMES A · other
BALSON ANDREW B · award
BALLARD CHARLES ANDREW · sell · $95,453
PITTENGER MAUREEN · award
BALSON ANDREW B · award
GARCIA KELLY E · sell · $1,150,600
BARRY CORIE S · award
CAFRITZ DIANE LONG · award
LOPEZ-GARCIA PATRICIA E · award
KRAMER STEPHEN HOWARD · award
FEDERICO RICHARD L · award
BRANDON DAVID A. · award
BALSON ANDREW B · award
PARRISH JESSICA L · sell · $209,672
GARRIDO FRANK · sell · $245,080
GARRIDO FRANK · exercise · $99,884
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · sell · $395,074
HEADEN CYNTHIA A. · exercise · $207,010
WEINER RUSSELL J · sell · $6,200,586
WEINER RUSSELL J · exercise · $1,396,401
BALSON ANDREW B · award
GOLDMAN JAMES A · award
CANTOR DIANA F · award
BALLARD CHARLES ANDREW · award
BARRY CORIE S · award
LOPEZ-GARCIA PATRICIA E · award
FEDERICO RICHARD L · award
BRANDON DAVID A. · award
event: +0.0% | 15 signals · latest 3h ago

Get alerted when DPZ changes direction

We'll email you when our AI detects a shift — reversals, insider clusters, filing red flags.