DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc.

bearish · high conviction REVERSAL track record → $103.83 -3.42 (-3.2%)
Get emailed when DLTR changes direction
Mkt Cap $22B P/E 18.4 fwd 14.8 52wk $78.70 - $142.40 2h ago
Insider selling: $2,766,278 sold by 19 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: insider_activity bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: +0.0% (5 up, 9 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.4)

Factor Model

net -0.4 2.1 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-0.5
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Dollar Tree Slides 25% Amid Multi-Price Strategy Concerns

Watch: Q2 earnings and comparable sales trends will reveal if the multi-price strategy and macro headwinds are impacting core revenue and profit growth.

Dollar Tree's stock is down 25% since mid-January and nearly 14% year-to-date, pressured by its shift from a $1 price point to a $1.25-$7 range that may dilute its brand. Goldman Sachs warns US consumers face a $140 billion income headwind in 2026 due to rising gasoline prices, adding macro pressure. Despite this, its consensus price target averages $125 with mixed analyst sentiment and Evercore ISI rates DLTR In-Line.

The multi-price move challenges Dollar Tree's value positioning during a tough consumer spending environment, risking sales and brand dilution as inflation pressures persist.

Evidence

2h ago Why the Trade Down Effect May Not Be Enough for Dollar Tree (DLTR) Stock yahoo-finance
14h ago Evercore ISI Group main DLTR: In-Line → In-Line
16h ago Goldman Sachs warns US consumers could have a challenging few months yahoo-finance
8d ago Insider buy by GLENDINNING STEWART F (DLTR): $342,130
8d ago Insider buy by MAHESHWARI ADITYA (DLTR): $59,899
8d ago Insider buy by HEINRICH DANIEL J (DLTR): $150,194
8d ago Insider buy by DOUGLAS WILLIAM W III (DLTR): $520,822
8d ago Insider buy by GLENDINNING STEWART F (DLTR): $1,236,750
7 older signals
14d ago Dollar Tree (DLTR) Gained from Lower Freight Costs and Favorable Product Mix
27d ago Jim Cramer Says He Wouldn’t Bet Against Dollar Stores Like Dollar Tree
30d ago Discount chain closes over 75 stores and raises prices
32d ago Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Tuesday - CNBC
35d ago Dollar Tree shares rise on Q4 beat despite soft 2026 outlook
55d ago Dollar Tree (DLTR) Rallied Following the Divestiture of Its Family Dollar Business
55d ago Rothschild Sets $165 Target on Dollar Tree (DLTR) as Rating Moves to Buy
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Dollar Tree, Inc. Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Mkt Cap
$22B
P/E
18.4 fwd 14.8
Beta
0.74
52w Range
$78.70 - $142.40
Short Interest
13.0M 8.09%
Days to Cover
4.3 +7%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
0.0%
1w return
+5.0%
Insiders
selling 1B / 2S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$1.56 +0.0% 30d 5up / 9dn
Est. Dispersion
13% 24 analysts
Analyst Target
$125 $80 - $165
Options P/C
0.05 2C / 0P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong buy 4B / 7S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$5.5B
FCF
$968M
Gross Margin
39%
Op Margin
13%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $303M
Renaissance $25M
D.E. Shaw $20M
Two Sigma $3M
Bridgewater $2M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 53
net selling · $2,766,278 sold · $2,309,795 bought
19 insiders · 53 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
MAHESHWARI ADITYA · award
CREEDON MICHAEL C JR · award
AFLATOONI ROBERT · award
SCHUMACHER STEVEN · award
WENG ROXANNE RENA · award
MITCHELL JOHN S JR · award
BEEBE BRENT A · award
KONRAD JOCELYN Z · award
GLENDINNING STEWART F · award
CREEDON MICHAEL C JR · award
AFLATOONI ROBERT · award
SCHUMACHER STEVEN · award
MITCHELL JOHN S JR · award
BEEBE BRENT A · award
AFLATOONI ROBERT · sell · $22,956
BEEBE BRENT A · sell · $274,230
BEEBE BRENT A · award
AFLATOONI ROBERT · sell · $119,328
MITCHELL JOHN S JR · award
GLENDINNING STEWART F · buy · $342,130
STAHL STEPHANIE P · sell · $118,878
STAHL STEPHANIE P · other
RANDOLPH DIANE ELIZABETH · award · $149,916
RANDOLPH DIANE ELIZABETH · other
JOHNSON TIMOTHY A · award · $149,916
DOUGLAS WILLIAM W III · award · $149,916
HEINRICH DANIEL J · award · $149,916
AFLATOONI ROBERT · sell · $17,070
MAHESHWARI ADITYA · buy · $59,899
MCNEELY RICHARD L. · sell · $1,989,480
WENG ROXANNE RENA · award
GLENDINNING STEWART F · buy · $1,236,750
MAHESHWARI ADITYA · sell · $92,485
DOUGLAS WILLIAM W III · buy · $520,822
MCNEELY RICHARD L. · award
CREEDON MICHAEL C JR · award
CREEDON MICHAEL C JR · sell · $31,162
AFLATOONI ROBERT · award
SCHUMACHER STEVEN · award
LEIKEN JONATHAN B · award
LEIKEN JONATHAN B · sell · $13,374
KINDY MICHAEL J · award
JOHNSON TIMOTHY A · award · $50,930
DOUGLAS WILLIAM W III · award · $50,930
GLENDINNING STEWART F · award
NAYLOR JEFFREY G · other
CREEDON MICHAEL C JR · award
SCHUMACHER STEVEN · award
HEINRICH DANIEL J · buy · $150,194
KINDY MICHAEL J · award
GATTA LAWRENCE J JR · award
HEINRICH DANIEL J · award · $149,936
AFLATOONI ROBERT · sell · $87,315
15 signals · latest 2h ago

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