COTY Coty Inc.

bearish track record → $2.37 +0.01 (+0.4%)
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Mkt Cap $2B 52wk $1.95 - $5.34 Earnings 2026-05-05 46d ago
Insider buying: $1,534,446 bought by 14 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: insider_activity bullish vs estimate_revisions, analyst_revisions, options_sentiment bea
Est. revisions: -714.5%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -2.8)

Factor Model

net -2.8 5.6 / 10
Est. Revisions
-1.0
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Analysts slash COTY targets after Q2 miss, guidance withdrawn

Watch: Watch for management commentary in upcoming investor calls or earnings beats in Q3 and beyond — the company needs to restore sales growth and clarify its strategic direction to justify any re-rating. Until then, the 41% downside cut by Canaccord reflects a reset lower.

Coty reported Q2 results that undershot expectations, and Q3 EBITDA guidance landed well below consensus — prompting Morgan Stanley and Canaccord to cut their price targets on February 9. Morgan Stanley slashed its target from $4.25 to $3.50 while Canaccord dropped from $3.50 to $2.50, both flagging leadership transition uncertainty and persistent negative sales growth as headwinds. The company withdrew its full fiscal 2026 guidance citing lack of visibility.

Two major investment banks losing confidence in near-term recovery signals deeper operational challenges beyond one bad quarter. The guidance withdrawal removes a key visibility metric just when investors need clarity, and negative sales momentum compounds the downside risk into 2026.

Evidence

6d ago Barclays main COTY: Underweight → Underweight
7d ago Insider buy by VON BRETTEN GORDON (COTY): $200,287
7d ago Insider buy by MERCIER LAURENT (COTY): $13,250
7d ago Insider buy by BLAZEWICZ KRISTIN (COTY): $126,532
7d ago Insider buy by MERCIER LAURENT (COTY): $61,017
7d ago Insider buy by NABI SUE (COTY): $1,018,160
7d ago Insider buy by SRINIVASAN PRIYA (COTY): $115,200
3 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Coty Inc. Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products
Mkt Cap
$2B
Beta
0.97
52w Range
$1.95 - $5.34
Short Interest
39.5M 10.49%
Days to Cover
5.0 +26%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
0.0%
1w return
+8.8%
Insiders
buying 6B / 0S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$-0.00 -714.5% 30d 0up / 2dn
Analyst Target
$3 $2 - $8
Options P/C
1.51
Insider Cluster
strong buy 5B / 0S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Two Sigma, Bridgewater, Renaissance
Financials
Revenue
$1.7B +0% YoY
FCF
$513M
Gross Margin
64%
Op Margin
9%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $12M
Two Sigma $4M
Bridgewater $4M
Renaissance $1M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 34
net buying · $1,534,446 bought
14 insiders · 34 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
SRINIVASAN PRIYA · other
SRINIVASAN PRIYA · other
VON BRETTEN GORDON · buy · $200,287
MERCIER LAURENT · buy · $13,250
MAKANJU ANNA ADEOLA · other
HARF PETER · other
SINGER ROBERT STEVEN · other
BALLINI BEATRICE · other
CREUS JOACHIM · other
PARIZE ISABELLE · other
ZAFAR AYESHA · other
ZAFAR AYESHA · other
BLAZEWICZ KRISTIN · other
VON BAYERN ANNA · other
MERCIER LAURENT · other
SRINIVASAN PRIYA · other
BLAZEWICZ KRISTIN · buy · $126,532
NABI SUE · other
MERCIER LAURENT · buy · $61,017
NABI SUE · buy · $1,018,160
SRINIVASAN PRIYA · buy · $115,200
SRINIVASAN PRIYA · other
PARIZE ISABELLE · other
HARF PETER · other
SINGER ROBERT STEVEN · other
GOUDET OLIVIER · other
BALLINI BEATRICE · other
CREUS JOACHIM · other
ZAFAR AYESHA · other
MERCIER LAURENT · other
ZAFAR AYESHA · other
BLAZEWICZ KRISTIN · other
VON BAYERN ANNA · other
MERCIER LAURENT · other
11 signals · latest 6d ago

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