CME CME Group Inc.

bullish · high conviction track record → $291.23 +1.94 (+0.7%)
Mkt Cap $105B P/E 24.8 fwd 22.5 52wk $257.17 - $329.16 6d ago
Insider selling: $12,200,402 sold by 2 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: options_sentiment bullish vs price_momentum, analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: -4.3% (4 up, 8 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net -1.4)

Factor Model

net -1.4 3.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.4
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

CME Launches AI Semiconductor Futures, Gains Alphabet

Watch: Watch CME’s successful launch and adoption of AI compute futures as a key revenue driver and catalyst for increased trading volumes and ecosystem growth.

CME Group and Silicon Data are launching GPU price index futures later in 2026 pending regulatory approval, marking a first for AI semiconductor price hedging. Alphabet holds a $1.03 billion stake in CME, making it the largest in its $4 billion portfolio. Insider selling by CME's DUFFY TERRENCE A totaled over $10 million recently, amid strong institutional backing including Citadel and D.E. Shaw.

The new AI compute futures market introduces standardized pricing and risk tools for the growing AI semiconductor sector while Alphabet's stake signals strong strategic confidence in CME’s innovation and market position.

Evidence

5d ago No Rate Cuts This Year reddit-stocks
6d ago Move Over, AST SpaceMobile: Alphabet Has a Surprising New No. 1 Holding... and It's From the Financial Sector yahoo-finance
8d ago Place Your Bets – Futures Traders Are About To See The Launch Of AI Semiconductor Contracts benzinga
10d ago CME Group (CME) Serves as a Volatility Shield yahoo-finance
12d ago How Can CME Group (CME) Be an Alternative to Correlation Risk? yahoo-finance
12d ago Insider sell by DUFFY TERRENCE A (CME): $10,447,866
17d ago CME crypto index futures are kind of a big deal imo reddit-stocks
17d ago CME Group (CME) Gained from Higher Trading Volume yahoo-finance
7 older signals
17d ago Compute is the new oil: Why the CME’s new AI compute futures just quietly guaranteed the next 24 months of the Nvidia and hyperscaler supercycle.
18d ago CPI just printed 3.8% and oil crossed $100 and the market barely moved. that should scare you more than a selloff would
19d ago CME Is Launching a Bitcoin VIX: Here’s Why That Changes Wall Street’s Bitcoin Game
24d ago CME Gearing Up to Launch Bitcoin Volatility Futures Independent From BTC’s Price
36d ago CME Institutional Flow Analysis (OI/CHGE) – Full Week Overview
37d ago Morgan Stanley main CME: Overweight → Overweight
37d ago Kalshi Launches 'Commodities Hub' That Offers Gold And Oil Markets
Fundamentals & Data ▾
CME Group Inc. Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Mkt Cap
$105B
P/E
24.8 fwd 22.5
Beta
0.26
Div Yield
180.00%
52w Range
$257.17 - $329.16
Short Interest
4.1M 1.26%
Days to Cover
1.8 -13%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+0.3%
vs 50d MA
-1.5%
from 52w Hi
-7.2%
Vol (20d)
25%
1w return
-2.5%
1m return
+2.0%
Vol ratio
1.0x
Insiders
selling 1B / 8S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$2.98 -4.3% 30d 4up / 8dn
Est. Dispersion
8% 13 analysts
Analyst Target
$306 $230 - $353
Options P/C
0.66
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 2S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma, Renaissance, Soros
Financials
Revenue
$1.9B +14% YoY
FCF
$1.2B
Gross Margin
88%
Op Margin
70%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $506M
D.E. Shaw $234M
Two Sigma $126M
Renaissance $10M
Soros $8M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 2
net selling · $12,200,402 sold
2 insiders · 2 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
DUFFY TERRENCE A · sell · $10,447,866
PIELL HILDA HARRIS · sell · $1,752,536
Track Record (1/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/1 correct at 5 days
2026-05-07 bullish +3.8% ✓
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15 signals · latest 5d ago

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