CCL Carnival Corporation & plc

bearish · high conviction track record → $29.01 -0.21 (-0.7%)
Get emailed when CCL changes direction
Mkt Cap $40B P/E 12.7 fwd 11.1 52wk $17.05 - $34.03 3h ago
Insider selling: $15,481,702 sold by 14 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -27.5% (2 up, 16 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net -2.9)

Factor Model

net -2.9 4.8 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.9
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-0.9
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Cruise stocks drop on fuel, demand fears

Watch: Watch fuel price trends and consumer booking patterns for a reversal in cruise sector risk sentiment.

Carnival shares fell over 2.5% alongside peers Norwegian and Royal Caribbean amid rising fuel costs and weakening consumer demand, pressuring the entire cruise sector. Analyst sentiment remains mixed with Wells Fargo maintaining an Overweight rating. Insider selling continues, with $15.5M in shares sold recently, while valuation targets range from $28.7 to $45 despite margin pressures.

Rising fuel expenses and slowing demand threaten Carnival's near-term profitability and share price, increasing downside risk in a high-debt scenario despite some analyst support.

Evidence

19h ago Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: American Airlines, Marvell Technology, Strategy & more cnbc-finance
5d ago Wells Fargo main CCL: Overweight → Overweight
7d ago Insider sell by BERNSTEIN DAVID (CCL): $12,016,891
7d ago UBS main CCL: Buy → Buy
7d ago Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Goldman Sachs, Revolution Medicines, Fastenal & more cnbc-finance
10d ago Stocks Slip Before the Open as Oil Rebounds Amid Fragile U.S.-Iran Ceasefire, PCE Inflation and GDP Data in Focus yahoo-finance
21d ago Carnival delivers solid bookings and operational gains during Q1 amid rising fuel risks: analysts yahoo-finance
24d ago Carnival Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will CEO Josh Weinstein Say? benzinga
7 older signals
24d ago Dow Tumbles 400 Points; Carnival Shares Fall After Q1 Earnings
26d ago Carnival Corporation to report Q1 earnings amid higher fuel costs, regional mix shifts
27d ago Which Cruise Giant Actually Delivers the Smarter Return for Investors?
30d ago Jim Cramer on Carnival Corporation: “That’s an Inexpensive Stock”
32d ago Stifel Lowers PT on Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL), Keeps a Buy
32d ago Carnival Earnings Anxiety: The Good, Bad, and Ugly
38d ago Carnival Drops 22% This Month As Unhedged Fuel Strategy Backfires
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Carnival Corporation & plc Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services
Mkt Cap
$40B
P/E
12.7 fwd 11.1
Beta
2.48
Div Yield
51.00%
52w Range
$17.05 - $34.03
Short Interest
43.2M 3.78%
Days to Cover
1.4 +12%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-0.7%
1w return
+4.5%
Insiders
selling 0B / 4S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$0.33 -27.5% 30d 2up / 16dn
Est. Dispersion
27% 18 analysts
Analyst Target
$35 $29 - $45
Options P/C
0.95
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 2S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Elliott, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$6.2B +6% YoY
FCF
$697M
Gross Margin
36%
Op Margin
10%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $509M
Elliott $429M
D.E. Shaw $313M
Renaissance $192M
Bridgewater $11M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 24
net selling · $15,481,702 sold
14 insiders · 24 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
BAND SIR JONATHON · sell · $314,266
BERNSTEIN DAVID · award
BERNSTEIN DAVID · sell · $12,016,891
MIGUEZ ENRIQUE · award
WEINSTEIN JOSHUA IAN · award
DEYNES BETTINA ALEJANDRA · award
LJOEN LARS JAKOB · award
BAND SIR JONATHON · sell · $371,912
BERNSTEIN DAVID · sell · $2,398,533
BERNSTEIN DAVID · award
CONNORS NELDA J · award
WEIL LAURA A · award
SUBOTNICK STUART A · award
WEISENBURGER RANDALL J · award
BAND SIR JONATHON · award
GEARHART JEFFREY J · award
DEEBLE HELEN · award
CAHILLY JASON GLEN · award
LAHEY KATIE · award
MIGUEZ ENRIQUE · award
WEINSTEIN JOSHUA IAN · award
DEYNES BETTINA ALEJANDRA · award
LJOEN LARS JAKOB · award
BAND SIR JONATHON · sell · $380,100
15 signals · latest 19h ago

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