CAR Avis Budget Group, Inc.

bearish track record →
Mkt Cap $9B 52wk $62.21 - $272.47 3h ago
Insider selling: $64,923,628 sold by 13 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: options_sentiment bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: +0.0%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model & Position History (net -1.1)

Factor Model

net -1.1 2.1 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Avis Budget's Rally Stalls After Sharp Drop

Watch: Next quarterly earnings will be critical to validate recovery after the large EPS miss and evaluate sustainability of demand amid sector pullbacks.

Full analysis

Avis Budget Group (CAR) surged 308% recently amid a short squeeze, hitting an all-time high intraday at $372.23 before pulling back 7% to $382. The stock faces extreme short interest above 50% of float driving volatility. Q4 FY2025 earnings missed badly with EPS at -$21.25 versus -$0.23 estimate, and revenues at $2.66B versus $2.75B expected. Insider activity shows mixed signals with a $40M buy by Pentwater but heavier insider selling totaling near $63M.

The sharp rally fueled by short squeeze is showing signs of exhaustion amid weak earnings and valuation disconnect, casting doubt on a sustained turnaround despite strong speculative interest.

Evidence

4h ago Hertz and Avis Drop 7% as Car Rental Short Squeeze Shows Signs of Stalling yahoo-finance
10h ago Avis Budget (CAR) Hits All-Time High After 9-Day Rally — Time to Sell? yahoo-finance
1d ago Bears Pounce On Avis Budget, Lucid, MARA — Short Interest In These 10 Stocks Soars Above 40% benzinga
1d ago Insider sell by HEES BERNARDO (CAR): $62,980,572
1d ago Insider buy by PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. (CAR): $40,060,075
6d ago Avis Budget (CAR) Rockets to 4-Year High — Here’s Why yahoo-finance
6d ago Avis Surges 10%, Hertz Advances 8% on Heavy Call Buying, Short Squeeze Chatter yahoo-finance
9d ago Netflix upgraded, Carvana downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst calls yahoo-finance
5 older signals
9d ago Here Are Monday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Avis Budget, Carvana, Dow, Kratos Defense, Netflix, Northern Trust, PayPay,Twilio, Tyson Foods and More
16d ago Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Fannie Mae, Boston Scientific, Blackstone, Palo Alto Networks and more
16d ago Avis Budget Group, Toyota Motor And Other Big Stocks Moving Lower In Monday's Pre-Market Session
18d ago Stock Market Today, March 26: Nasdaq Falls 2.4% After Meta and Micron Drop Sharply - Yahoo Finance
52d ago Stocks Decline Amid AI Fears and Geopolitical Risks
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Avis Budget Group, Inc. Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Mkt Cap
$9B
Beta
1.93
52w Range
$62.21 - $272.47
Short Interest
8.1M 48.28%
Days to Cover
8.8 +8%
Insiders
buying 1B / 0S
EPS Estimate
$-7.50 +0.0% 30d 0up / 1dn
Est. Dispersion
6% 4 analysts
Analyst Target
$106 $85 - $128
Options P/C
2.46 1C / 3P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong sell 1B / 3S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$2.7B +0% YoY
FCF
$-3.1B
Gross Margin
67%
Op Margin
-2%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $316M
Renaissance $22M
Bridgewater
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 63
net selling · $64,923,628 sold · $40,060,075 bought
13 insiders · 63 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $195,069,000
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $121,907,500
PAHWA JAGDEEP · other
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $5,219,500
CHOI BRIAN J · award
CHOI BRIAN J · exercise · $296,792
DEGENOVA CATHLEEN · other
SERA JEAN M. · other
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · award
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $33,322,000
LINNEN EDWARD P · award
LINNEN EDWARD P · exercise · $96,480
CHOI BRIAN J · other
DEGENOVA CATHLEEN · other
SERA JEAN M. · other
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · other
LINNEN EDWARD P · other
CHOI BRIAN J · other
DEGENOVA CATHLEEN · other
SERA JEAN M. · other
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · other
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $3,062,500
LINNEN EDWARD P · other
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $79,000
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $30,000
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · exercise · $11,115,000
LURIE GLENN · award · $150,011
HARIHARAN ANU · award · $132,453
PENTWATER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. · buy · $40,060,075
KROMINGA LYNN · award · $169,980
KROMINGA LYNN · sell · $178,503
HEES BERNARDO · award · $250,050
CHOI BRIAN J · other
SERA JEAN M. · other
LINNEN EDWARD P · other
LINNEN EDWARD P · sell · $1,568,283
HEES BERNARDO · sell · $62,980,572
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · award
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · exercise · $104,843
FERRARO JOSEPH A · other
CHOI BRIAN J · other
DEGENOVA CATHLEEN · other
SERA JEAN M. · other
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · other
MARTINS IZILDA P · other
LINNEN EDWARD P · other
FERRARO JOSEPH A · other
CHOI BRIAN J · other
DEGENOVA CATHLEEN · other
SERA JEAN M. · other
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · other
MARTINS IZILDA P · other
HEES BERNARDO · award
HEES BERNARDO · exercise · $860,657
LINNEN EDWARD P · other
KROMINGA LYNN · sell · $196,270
LURIE GLENN · award · $149,967
HARIHARAN ANU · award · $132,529
KROMINGA LYNN · award · $170,020
HEES BERNARDO · award · $124,943
SIMHAMBHATLA RAVI · other
HEES BERNARDO · other
HEES BERNARDO · award · $76,486
ⓘ Filing analysis pending — next scan runs every 12 hours
ⓘ Transcript analysis coming soon
13 signals · latest 4h ago

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