C Citigroup Inc.

bearish SHIFT track record → $124.68 -0.71 (-0.6%)
Mkt Cap $215B P/E 15.6 fwd 10.1 52wk $74.30 - $135.29 Updated Thursday
Insider selling: $265,260 sold by 1 insider (30d)
Est. revisions: +1.3% (4 up, 5 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.2)

Factor Model

net -0.2 2.8 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.1
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.1
Analyst Rev.
-0.2
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Citigroup Lowers Brazil Sugar Outlook

Watch: Monitor updates on El Niño developments and resulting sugar production changes in Brazil, India, and Thailand for commodity supply outlook clarity.

Citigroup projects Brazil's 2026/27 sugar production at 39.5 million metric tons, 10% below Conab's 43.95 million estimates due to mills shifting cane to ethanol amid high gasoline prices. The bank warns that a strong El Niño could further disrupt sugar output in India and Thailand within 6 to 12 months. This production downgrade suggests tightening supply despite crude oil weakness pressuring sugar prices.

Reduced sugar supply expectations signal potential price volatility for commodities linked to energy costs and ethanol demand, impacting related markets and Citigroup commodity forecasts.

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
Citigroup Inc. Financial Services · Banks - Diversified
Mkt Cap
$215B
P/E
15.6 fwd 10.1
Beta
1.12
Div Yield
192.00%
52w Range
$74.30 - $135.29
Short Interest
424,076 0.02%
Days to Cover
0.0 +27%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-0.6%
from 52w Hi
-6.3%
Vol (20d)
24%
1w return
-0.1%
1m return
-2.5%
Vol ratio
0.7x
Insiders
selling 0B / 4S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$2.60 +1.3% 30d 4up / 5dn
Est. Dispersion
14% 11 analysts
Analyst Target
$147 $125 - $170
Options P/C
0.39
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Two Sigma, Bridgewater, Renaissance, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$24.7B +14% YoY
FCF
$-23.3B
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $2.7B
Two Sigma $87M
Bridgewater $84M
Renaissance $77M
D.E. Shaw $38M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 1
net selling · $265,260 sold
1 insider · 1 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
DUGAN JOHN CUNNINGHAM · sell · $265,260
Track Record (1/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/1 correct at 5 days
2026-04-14 bullish +1.6%
15 signals · latest Updated Friday

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