BRSL Brightstar Lottery PLC

bullish track record → $12.85 -0.07 (-0.5%)
Get emailed when BRSL changes direction
Mkt Cap $2B 52wk $12.02 - $18.57 Earnings 2026-05-12 53d ago
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: options_sentiment bullish vs estimate_revisions, analyst_revisions, narrative_gap bearis
Est. revisions: -19.4%
Factor Model (net -2.9)

Factor Model

net -2.9 5.7 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.9
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
-0.5

Q4 beat, FY2026 guidance topped with 2.5B revenue raised

Watch: Watch whether BRSL can deliver on FY2026 guidance without needing upward revisions mid-year — miss here and the narrative flips. Any deterioration in same-store sales trends would signal demand softening beneath the surface.

Brightstar Lottery posted Q4 2025 revenue of $668 million, up 2.61% YoY and beating consensus by $4.57 million, with EPS of $0.36 outpacing estimates by $0.04. Adjusted EBITDA grew 5% YoY to $304 million, while same-store sales climbed 3.5% — showing steady underlying momentum in core operations. The company guided FY2026 revenue of $2.50–$2.55 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.16–$1.19 billion, signaling confidence in sustained growth.

Beat-and-raise quarters build credibility with growth investors, especially when same-store sales outpace headline growth — that's the hardest metric to game. The 5% EBITDA expansion suggests the business is translating top-line gains into margin expansion, which matters more than revenue alone for a mature gaming operator.

Evidence

53d ago Playtika Holding Corp. (PLTK) Posts Q4 2025 Earnings, Here’s What You Need to Know yahoo-finance
56d ago Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) Releases Q4 2025 Results, Here’s What You Should Know yahoo-finance
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Brightstar Lottery PLC Consumer Cyclical · Gambling
Mkt Cap
$2B
Beta
1.08
Div Yield
712.00%
52w Range
$12.02 - $18.57
Short Interest
4.6M 2.52%
Days to Cover
4.3 +2%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-1.9%
1w return
-1.8%
EPS Estimate
$0.18 -19.4% 30d 0up / 1dn
Est. Dispersion
56% 3 analysts
Analyst Target
$18 $14 - $22
Options P/C
3.00
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance
Financials
Revenue
$668M +2% YoY
FCF
$-264M
Gross Margin
49%
Op Margin
26%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $52M
D.E. Shaw $18M
Renaissance $7M
2 signals · latest 53d ago

Get alerted when BRSL changes direction

We'll email you when our AI detects a shift — reversals, insider clusters, filing red flags.

All stocks → Our calls → How it works →