BP BP p.l.c.

bearish · high conviction track record → $41.87 +0.28 (+0.7%)
Mkt Cap $107B P/E 33.5 fwd 10.2 52wk $28.83 - $48.27 5d ago
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We disagree with Wall Street. Analyst consensus: bullish. Our position: bearish. See factor model below for why.
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions bullish vs price_momentum, analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: +3.8% (2 up, 3 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.3)

Factor Model

net -0.3 2.4 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.4
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.7
Analyst Rev.
-0.4
Narrative Gap
+0.0

BP Fires Chairman Amid Governance Concerns

Watch: BP's next chairman appointment and Q2 operational updates will indicate management's ability to restore confidence and maintain growth momentum.

BP removed Chairman Albert Manifold after only seven months over governance and conduct issues. Ian Tyler was named interim chair while the company searches for a permanent replacement. Shares fell up to 9%, settling about 5% lower, reflecting investor concern despite CEO Meg O'Neill's ongoing restructuring efforts in upstream and downstream sectors.

The leadership disruption raises questions about BP's governance stability and could weigh on investor confidence during a critical restructuring phase.

Evidence

Updated Friday Short interest surged 23% to 15,186,793 shares
5d ago BP Just Fired Its Chairman After Seven Months yahoo-finance
17d ago BP Enters Uzbekistan Gas Exploration Deal With SOCAR and Uzbekneftegaz yahoo-finance
19d ago Argus Research up BP: Hold → Buy
20d ago Saudi oil giant lands £5bn boost from Iran energy shock yahoo-finance
20d ago RBC Capital up BP: Sector Perform → Outperform
20d ago BP, Shell, TotalEnergies Pocket Billions in War-Driven Trading Windfall yahoo-finance
22d ago Venezuela Lands Billions in Oil Deals as Industry Rushes Back yahoo-finance
7 older signals
31d ago BP Shares Up 20% Since Iran War, Leading All Supermajors
32d ago Oil majors eye resurgent Canadian energy in wake of Middle East upheaval
32d ago BP p.l.c. (BP) Shareholders Decline Two Board Proposals
33d ago BP's profit more than doubles in 1Q as Iran war continues and US gas prices rise
33d ago Markets search for direction as geopolitics and earnings dominate focus: Dow Jones, S&P, Nasdaq, Wall Street Futures
37d ago BP shareholders reject 2 resolutions over climate disclosures
38d ago Trump Taps Into Wartime Powers To Fund Diverse Energy Projects Amid Rising Costs, Signs Five Key Memos
Fundamentals & Data ▾
BP p.l.c. Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Mkt Cap
$107B
P/E
33.5 fwd 10.2
Beta
-0.22
Div Yield
480.00%
52w Range
$28.83 - $48.27
Short Interest
15.2M 0.67%
Days to Cover
1.7 +39%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-6.5%
from 52w Hi
-12.7%
Vol (20d)
30%
1w return
-7.8%
1m return
-10.3%
Vol ratio
1.4x
Insiders
mixed 0B / 0S
Analysts
bullish 3 up / 0 down
EPS Estimate
$1.51 +3.8% 30d 2up / 3dn
Est. Dispersion
62% 9 analysts
Analyst Target
$49 $31 - $62
Options P/C
0.68 0C / 1P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater, Two Sigma, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$52.3B +11% YoY
FCF
$-382M
Gross Margin
24%
Op Margin
15%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $250M
Renaissance $72M
Bridgewater $17M
Two Sigma $6M
D.E. Shaw $2M
Recent Filings & Data
analyst rating 2
Argus Research up → Buy 20d ago
RBC Capital up → Outperform 20d ago
Track Record (0/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

0/1 correct at 5 days
2026-04-14 bullish -0.6% ✗
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