BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited

bullish · high conviction 1/3 calls correct ↓ $131.35 +3.34 (+2.6%)
Mkt Cap $305B P/E 22.5 fwd 16.8 52wk $103.71 - $192.67 Earnings missing Earnings 2026-05-14 1d ago
Est. revisions: -20.4% (2 up, 9 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)

Factor Model

net -3.3 7.1 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.9
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.2
Analyst Rev.
-0.9
Narrative Gap
-0.5

Alibaba boosts AI lead with Qwen 3.6-Plus upgrade

Watch: Watch Alibaba's Q2 earnings and cloud margin for signs that AI investments fuel revenue acceleration and margin gains despite macro headwinds.

Full analysis

Alibaba launched the Qwen 3.6-Plus AI model on April 2, enhancing coding, multimodal functions, and developer API integrations. Its open-source Qwen models gain wide adoption, including by Meta's Muse Spark. Chinese AI daily token processing jumped from 100 billion to 140 trillion, helping Chinese AI models surpass U.S. peers. J.P. Morgan reiterated a Buy rating with a $205 target, implying 61% upside. AI competition intensifies with ByteDance, DeepSeek, and Baidu.

This AI upgrade solidifies Alibaba's growing edge in China’s AI race, supporting cloud and developer ecosystem growth that could drive long-term revenue and investor returns amid tech volatility.

Compare

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
Alibaba Group Holding Limited Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Mkt Cap
$305B
P/E
22.5 fwd 16.8
Beta
0.49
Div Yield
82.00%
52w Range
$103.71 - $192.67
Short Interest
39.4M 1.97%
Days to Cover
3.2 +1%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+4.1%
vs 50d MA
-6.1%
from 52w Hi
-30.6%
Vol (20d)
42%
1w return
+9.7%
1m return
-2.9%
3m return
-21.0%
Vol ratio
0.9x
Analysts
mixed
Earnings
missing 1B / 4M
EPS Estimate
$7.02 -20.4% 30d 2up / 9dn
Est. Dispersion
111% 15 analysts
Analyst Target
$189 $113 - $261
Options P/C
0.39 0C / 1P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Appaloosa, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$284.8B +2% YoY
FCF
$36.0B
Gross Margin
40%
Op Margin
7%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $2.7B
Appaloosa $753M
D.E. Shaw $158M
Recent Filings & Data
earnings 1
EPS 7.09 (est 10.93826) · -0.4%
Track Record (1/3 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/3 correct at 5 days
2026-03-29 bullish -0.3%
2026-03-20 bearish +0.2%
2026-03-09 bullish +3.1%
BABA is listed outside the US — no SEC insider filings
BABA does not file 10-K/10-Q with the SEC
Transcript analysis coming soon
15 signals · latest 13h ago

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