BABA Alibaba Group Holding Limited

bearish REVERSAL 1/5 shifts correct ↓ $124.22 -1.94 (-1.5%)
Mkt Cap $298B P/E 19.2 fwd 13.5 52wk $103.71 - $192.67 Earnings missing Updated Saturday
Est. revisions: -14.8% (2 up, 5 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net -2.7)

Factor Model

net -2.7 6.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.8
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.4
Analyst Rev.
-0.7
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Alibaba drag from Hang Seng's stalled recovery

Watch: Monitor Hang Seng's trajectory and any easing of regulatory pressures for potential Alibaba valuation recovery.

Hang Seng index remains far below its peak years ago, dragging Alibaba down amidst ongoing Chinese market pressures. Alibaba and Tencent faced heavy regulatory crackdowns that erased massive value. Japan's Nikkei and South Korea's KOSPI are hitting new highs, contrasting sharply with Hang Seng struggles. Alibaba's shares reflect this bearish trend with a 33% drop from its 52-week high and weak recent price performance.

Alibaba's share price is tethered to Hang Seng's sluggish rebound and regulatory uncertainties, restraining upside despite prior optimism around AI and cloud growth.

Evidence

10h ago China's AI Dream Fades as Alibaba, Tencent, PDD Plunge While US Stocks Soar benzinga
Updated Saturday Hang Seng is still below levels it touched years ago. Will it ever recover? reddit-investing
7d ago China tech plays to ride out macro volatility cnbc-finance
8d ago Alibaba (BABA) Price Target Raised to $185 by Susquehanna yahoo-finance
9d ago NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Gains Momentum on H200 China Clearance yahoo-finance
10d ago 3G Capital Exits Microsoft Stock in Major Portfolio Shift. MSFT Is Still One of the Best AI Plays Now. yahoo-finance
11d ago Alibaba reveals more powerful Zhenwu AI chip, new LLM cnbc-finance
16d ago Alibaba CEO’s AI message raises the bar for BABA stock yahoo-finance
7 older signals
16d ago Why Micron Stock Just Dropped - The Motley Fool
16d ago Susquehanna main BABA: Positive → Positive
16d ago From Pop Concerts To Plush Toys, Damai Broadens Ecosystem
17d ago Barclays main BABA: Overweight → Overweight
17d ago JP Morgan main BABA: Overweight → Overweight
17d ago Mizuho main BABA: Outperform → Outperform
17d ago Trump Clears Nvidia H200 Sales To Alibaba, Tencent And 8 Others, But Beijing Halts Deliveries
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Alibaba Group Holding Limited Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Mkt Cap
$298B
P/E
19.2 fwd 13.5
Beta
0.49
Div Yield
85.00%
52w Range
$103.71 - $192.67
Short Interest
39.7M 1.97%
Days to Cover
3.3 +7%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-7.4%
vs 50d MA
-5.2%
from 52w Hi
-34.4%
Vol (20d)
49%
1w return
-5.5%
1m return
-4.8%
3m return
-13.8%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Analysts
mixed
Earnings
missing 1B / 4M
EPS Estimate
$10.20 -14.8% 30d 2up / 5dn
Est. Dispersion
109% 15 analysts
Analyst Target
$192 $113 - $259
Options P/C
0.43 3C / 3P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Appaloosa, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$243.4B +3% YoY
FCF
$-117.5B
Gross Margin
34%
Op Margin
-0%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $2.7B
Appaloosa $753M
D.E. Shaw $158M
Track Record (1/5 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/5 correct at 5 days
2026-05-16 bullish -1.9% ✗
2026-05-14 bullish -6.8% ✗
2026-03-29 bullish -0.3% ✗
2026-03-20 bearish +0.2% ✗
2026-03-09 bullish +3.1% ✓
Full track record across all stocks →
ⓘ BABA is listed outside the US — no SEC insider filings
ⓘ BABA does not file 10-K/10-Q with the SEC
15 signals · latest 10h ago

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