AMZN Amazon.com, Inc.

bearish 0/2 calls correct ↓ $249.02 +9.13 (+3.8%)
Mkt Cap $2.6T P/E 33.2 fwd 25.4 52wk $165.29 - $258.60 Earnings beating Earnings 2026-04-30 5h ago
What We Found Primary source analysis others skip
SEC Filing Changes
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing describes system interruptions, causes, potential damages, lack of full redundancy, and sufficiency of disaster recovery planning and insurance in more detail than prior filing.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing includes specific mention of reliance on limited suppliers for semiconductor products related to AI infrastructure such as graphics processing units, and details risks from supplier limitations, violations, and unethical practices potentially exposing the company to claims and reputational damage. Prior filing mentioned semiconductor products but did not highlight AI infrastructure specifically.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
New Items Added

The 2026 filing added 'energy prices,' 'tariff and trade policies,' and 'resource and supply volatility, including for memory chips,' as new specific risk factors which were not mentioned in the 2025 filing.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing lists a broader set of risks associated with acquisitions and investments, including detailed risks related to integration challenges, regulatory approvals, valuation impairments, and foreign transaction risks such as cultural integration and economic, political, and regulatory risks associated with specific countries.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing discusses complexity of arrangements, infrastructure capacity, potential lower compensation, and risks including loss of management focus, impairment of relationships, revenue variability, and integration difficulties in more detail than prior filing.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing adds mention of 'adopting and utilizing artificial intelligence and machine learning technologies' as a factor increasing strain on management and operations (was not present in prior filing). Prior filing only discussed 'increasing our product and service offerings and scaling our infrastructure.' This reflects a broader technological complexity and operational risk.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing includes additional detailed factors influencing sales fluctuations and growth rate, such as 'factors affecting our reputation or brand image,' 'public perceptions regarding AI and ML development and use,' 'availability of and increases in prices of transportation, resources, commodities, technology infrastructure,' 'constrained labor markets,' and 'operators of networks charging fees to access our stores.' These factors are more specific and comprehensive compared to prior filing's more general list.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing includes expanded detail under disruptions from geopolitical events including 'political conflicts, including those involving China,' labor or trade disputes 'including restrictive governmental actions impacting us in China or other foreign countries,' tariff policy changes including retaliatory actions, and climate change impacts such as increased operating costs due to frequent extreme weather events, increased compliance costs due to more extensive regulations, and reputational damage from environmental impact perceptions. Prior filing mentioned these risks but in less detail.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing elaborates on risks from adding fulfillment and data center capabilities or new businesses with different requirements, and on staffing challenges driven by labor market constraints increasing payroll costs and difficult hiring conditions. Also, mentions risks related to tracking inventory for other companies under some commercial agreements. Prior filing had less detailed description of these risks.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
MEDIUM
Language Changes

Current filing highlights use of third-party technology including AI technologies and acknowledges past security incidents and potential for material adverse effects. Also notes that AI and developing technologies may circumvent existing measures, posing security challenges. Prior filing contained a less detailed version and did not specifically mention AI in this context.

10-K · Filed 2026-02-06
Material Events (8-K)
8-K
Equity Investment Agreement

Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Amazon.com, Inc., entered into an equity commitment letter agreement to purchase up to $35 billion of OpenAI's Series C Preferred St...

Filed 2026-02-27 · Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, Amazon.com, Inc.
Insider selling: $210,500 sold by 1 insider (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: price_momentum, narrative_gap bullish vs analyst_revisions, filing_risk_change bearish
Est. revisions: +0.3% (2 up, 3 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)

Factor Model

net -0.2 2.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.9
Analyst Rev.
-0.4
Narrative Gap
+0.5
Filing Risk
+10.0

Amazon boosts capex, expands satellite fleet, gains upgrades

Watch: Upcoming earnings reports will reveal progress on AI margin gains, satellite integration, and capex efficiency impacting growth and profitability.

Full analysis

Amazon raised its 2026 capex guidance sharply to $200 billion from $131.8 billion as it invests $25 billion in new data centers and AI infrastructure. The company agreed to acquire Globalstar for $11.57 billion, accelerating its Project Kuiper satellite internet effort to over 3,200 satellites by 2029. AWS secured major deals with Uber and Coupa to expand AI cloud capabilities. Analysts upgraded Amazon to Overweight with price targets averaging $281, citing significant upside potential despite ongoing market fears around AI spending and growth stock valuations.

Amazon's capital expenditure surge and satellite acquisition signal a strategic push to dominate cloud AI infrastructure and satellite internet, setting growth drivers that underpin upside potential amid market skepticism.

Position history (7d) bull bear neutral
2026-03-19 2026-04-10
All 7 daily readings
2026-04-10 bearish · medium 23sig
2026-04-07 bearish · medium 15sig
2026-04-04 bearish · medium 7sig
2026-04-01 bearish · high 13sig
2026-03-31 bearish · high 7sig
2026-03-30 bearish · high 11sig
2026-03-19 bullish · high 10sig

Compare

Related Stocks

Ripple Effect

When AMZN goes bearish, NVDA follows 3x (33% same direction)

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
Amazon.com, Inc. Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Mkt Cap
$2.6T
P/E
33.2 fwd 25.4
Beta
1.38
52w Range
$165.29 - $258.60
Short Interest
84.8M 0.87%
Days to Cover
1.8 -2%
Technicals uptrend
vs 20d MA
+15.5%
vs 50d MA
+16.6%
from 52w Hi
-2.0%
Vol (20d)
37%
1w return
+16.5%
1m return
+19.9%
3m return
+1.0%
Vol ratio
1.2x
Insiders
selling 0B / 14S
Analysts
mixed
Earnings
beating 3B / 1M
EPS Estimate
$1.65 +0.3% 30d 2up / 3dn
Est. Dispersion
83% 46 analysts
Analyst Target
$281 $175 - $360
Options P/C
0.60 6C / 3P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 8S
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Tiger Global, Coatue, Pershing Square
Financials
Revenue
$213.4B +14% YoY
FCF
$14.9B
Gross Margin
48%
Op Margin
12%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $15.3B
Citadel $13.2B
Tiger Global $2.3B
Coatue $2.3B
Pershing Square $2.2B
Recent Filings & Data
filing change 10
MEDIUM Language Changes: Expanded language around system interruptions and lack of redundancy risks
full analysis

Current filing describes system interruptions, causes, potential damages, lack of full redundancy, and sufficiency of disaster recovery planning and insurance in more detail than prior filing.

MEDIUM Language Changes: Expanded risks in supplier relationships emphasizing AI infrastructure related products
full analysis

Current filing includes specific mention of reliance on limited suppliers for semiconductor products related to AI infrastructure such as graphics processing units, and details risks from supplier limitations, violations, and unethical practices potentially exposing the company to claims and reputational damage. Prior filing mentioned semiconductor products but did not highlight AI infrastructure specifically.

MEDIUM New Items Added: Addition of new specific risk factors in the current filing.
full analysis

The 2026 filing added 'energy prices,' 'tariff and trade policies,' and 'resource and supply volatility, including for memory chips,' as new specific risk factors which were not mentioned in the 2025 filing.

MEDIUM Language Changes: More extensive list of risks related to acquisitions and investments
full analysis

Current filing lists a broader set of risks associated with acquisitions and investments, including detailed risks related to integration challenges, regulatory approvals, valuation impairments, and foreign transaction risks such as cultural integration and economic, political, and regulatory risks associated with specific countries.

MEDIUM Language Changes: Expanded risks related to commercial agreements and business relationships
full analysis

Current filing discusses complexity of arrangements, infrastructure capacity, potential lower compensation, and risks including loss of management focus, impairment of relationships, revenue variability, and integration difficulties in more detail than prior filing.

5 more
MEDIUM Expansion of discussion on challenges due to business scale and technology adoption
MEDIUM Expanded enumeration of factors affecting sales and operating results
MEDIUM More detailed discussion on geopolitical and climate related risks
MEDIUM Expanded risks related to operating fulfillment network and data centers
MEDIUM More comprehensive description of data security risks and AI-related challenges
insider trade 1
net selling · $210,500 sold
1 insider · 1 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
HERRINGTON DOUGLAS J · sell · $210,500
material event 1
Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Amazon.com, Inc., entered into an equity commitment ... SEC↗
Track Record (0/2 correct) ▾

Direction History

0/2 correct at 5 days
2026-03-29 bearish +6.8%
2026-03-07 bullish -2.6%
Transcript analysis coming soon
bearish for 6d | 15 signals · latest 1h ago

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