AMAT Applied Materials, Inc.

bullish · high conviction 1/2 shifts correct ↓ $450.06 +0.38 (+0.1%)
Mkt Cap $356B P/E 42.1 fwd 27.7 52wk $153.47 - $462.40 Updated Saturday
We disagree with Wall Street. Analyst consensus: bearish. Our position: bullish. Check the factor breakdown for details.
Insider selling: $623,970 sold by 3 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: +17.7% (25 up, 0 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +3.6)

Factor Model

net +3.6 5.7 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.8
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.9
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Applied Materials Rides AI-Driven Chip Boom

Watch: Watch AMAT's next quarterly earnings for confirmation of sustained AI-driven demand and capacity utilization.

Applied Materials shares surged 75% year to date and 178% over the past year on an AI data center chip equipment supercycle. CEO Gary Dickerson reports AI demand tripled recently and calls this the best semiconductor industry period ever. The company nearly doubled supply capacity expecting durable demand through 2027 and 2028.

This sustained AI-driven semiconductor boom underpins AMAT's growth, capacity expansion, and strong earnings outlook, signaling a multi-year industry tailwind.

Position history (2d) bull bear neutral
2026-05-07 2026-05-16

Evidence

7 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Applied Materials, Inc. Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Mkt Cap
$356B
P/E
42.1 fwd 27.7
Beta
1.65
Div Yield
47.00%
52w Range
$153.47 - $462.40
Short Interest
15.9M 2.01%
Days to Cover
2.8 +22%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+5.1%
from 52w Hi
-1.1%
Vol (20d)
49%
1w return
+5.3%
1m return
+17.6%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Insiders
selling 0B / 8S
Analysts
bearish 0 up / 1 down
EPS Estimate
$3.38 +17.7% 30d 25up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
12% 30 analysts
Analyst Target
$511 $358 - $575
Options P/C
0.88 1C / 1P unusual
Insider Cluster
sell cluster 0B / 2S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Coatue, Tiger Global, Bridgewater, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$7.9B +11% YoY
FCF
$210M
Gross Margin
50%
Op Margin
32%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $1.6B
Coatue $1.5B
Tiger Global $230M
Bridgewater $123M
D.E. Shaw $111M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 3
net selling · $623,970 sold
3 insiders · 3 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
SANDERS ADAM · sell · $116,370
BRUNER JUDY · sell · $507,600
DE GEUS AART J · other
analyst rating 3
Morgan Stanley down → Equal-Weight 13d ago
HSBC init → Buy 23d ago
Seaport Global init → Buy 26d ago
Track Record (1/2 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/2 correct at 5 days
2026-05-05 bullish +5.0%
2026-04-14 bullish -0.3%
bullish for 2d | 15 signals · latest Updated Saturday

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