AI C3.ai, Inc.

bearish · high conviction track record → $9.48 -0.39 (-4.0%)
Mkt Cap $1B 52wk $7.67 - $30.24 Earnings 2026-05-27 63d ago
Insider selling: $242,902,932 sold by 11 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: price_momentum, narrative_gap bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: +0.0%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.4)

Factor Model

net -0.4 2.2 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.8
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.5

C3.ai misses Q3, plans $135M cost cut to stabilize

Watch: FY2027 revenue guidance on the next earnings call; if it's flat or down, expect further downside. Watch customer retention and net dollar retention rates—if the restructuring drives churn, the thesis fully breaks.

C3.ai reported fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $53.3M, down 46% YoY and 29% below consensus, with a non-GAAP loss of $0.40 per share versus $0.29 expected. Subscription revenue represents 90% of total at $48.2M. The company launched a restructuring targeting $135M in annual non-GAAP operating expense savings. Q4 2026 guidance sits at $48.0M to $52.0M, suggesting no near-term recovery trajectory.

Cost cuts buy time but don't solve the core problem: AI spending hasn't materialized for C3.ai's use cases, and the company is losing share to better-positioned competitors. A guidance range that overlaps Q3's results signals management expects stabilization, not growth—which leaves valuation vulnerable to any miss.

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
C3.ai, Inc. Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Mkt Cap
$1B
Beta
1.99
52w Range
$7.67 - $30.24
Short Interest
44.0M 33.12%
Days to Cover
9.2 +8%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+3.4%
from 52w Hi
-4.0%
Vol (20d)
64%
1w return
+2.8%
1m return
+14.5%
Vol ratio
0.9x
Insiders
selling 0B / 5S
EPS Estimate
$-0.38 +0.0% 30d 0up / 14dn
Est. Dispersion
24% 14 analysts
Analyst Target
$9 $6 - $17
Options P/C
0.19
Insider Cluster
strong sell 1B / 5S
Financials
Revenue
$53M -46% YoY
FCF
$-56M
Gross Margin
17%
Op Margin
-264%
Momentum: decelerating
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 133
net selling · $242,902,932 sold · $302,300 bought
11 insiders · 133 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · other
HYTEN JOHN E. · other
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · sell · $429,092
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · award
SNABE JIM HAGEMANN · buy · $77,300
SNABE JIM HAGEMANN · sell · $80,800
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $4,401,598
SIEBEL THOMAS M · exercise · $1,023,054
LATH HITESH · sell · $136,927
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
LATH HITESH · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $213,493
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SNABE JIM HAGEMANN · buy · $225,000
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $137,532
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $5,966,795
SIEBEL THOMAS M · exercise · $1,043,933
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $7,059,806
SIEBEL THOMAS M · exercise · $433,675
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · other
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · sell · $3,185,488
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $7,635,681
LATH HITESH · sell · $216,304
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $366,620
SIEBEL THOMAS M · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $241,570
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $8,286,079
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $476,528
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $10,441,374
RICE CONDOLEEZZA · exercise · $580
SCHILLING ROBERT DAVID · sell · $8,133,515
SCHILLING ROBERT DAVID · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $9,754,334
LATH HITESH · sell · $796,508
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
LATH HITESH · other
EHIKIAN STEPHEN BRADLEY · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $1,502,360
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $283,628
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $9,693,437
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $7,650,720
SIEBEL THOMAS M · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $16,844,450
LATH HITESH · sell · $441,604
LATH HITESH · award
SCHILLING ROBERT DAVID · award
HYTEN JOHN E. · other
LATH HITESH · sell · $146,108
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $131,366
HYTEN JOHN E. · other
LATH HITESH · other
WITTEVEEN MEREL · other
HYTEN JOHN E. · sell · $237,500
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $15,051,342
SEWELL DURWARD BRUCE · sell · $2,054
SEWELL DURWARD BRUCE · exercise · $147
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $44,853
WITTEVEEN MEREL · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · sell · $1,171,980
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · exercise · $209,812
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $447,100
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
WARD STEPHEN MAURICE JR. · sell · $1,115,494
WARD STEPHEN MAURICE JR. · exercise · $198,348
LATH HITESH · sell · $128,652
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $136,794
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $18,966
WITTEVEEN MEREL · other
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $133,367
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $14,727,927
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $601,634
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
WITTEVEEN MEREL · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $12,570,056
SNABE JIM HAGEMANN · award
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $25,209
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $13,865,265
LATH HITESH · other
HYTEN JOHN E. · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $8,900
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $102,697
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $21,472,455
SIEBEL THOMAS M · exercise · $247,380
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · sell · $358,080
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · exercise · $56,160
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
WITTEVEEN MEREL · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $20,882,905
SIEBEL THOMAS M · exercise · $1,237,704
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · sell · $417,557
LATH HITESH · sell · $21,035
WITTEVEEN MEREL · sell · $389,109
SNABE JIM HAGEMANN · sell · $21,512,085
SNABE JIM HAGEMANN · exercise · $5,380,102
LATH HITESH · sell · $167,280
LATH HITESH · other
HYTEN JOHN E. · other
HYTEN JOHN E. · sell · $191,874
RICE CONDOLEEZZA · sell · $3,361,752
RICE CONDOLEEZZA · exercise · $132,921
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · sell · $3,024,000
LEVIN RICHARD C PH.D. · exercise · $336,960
WARD STEPHEN MAURICE JR. · sell · $5,250,000
WARD STEPHEN MAURICE JR. · exercise · $567,680
LATH HITESH · sell · $476,238
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
WITTEVEEN MEREL · award
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · exercise · $999,999
WITTEVEEN MEREL · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · award
WITTEVEEN MEREL · award
LATH HITESH · sell · $82,818
SIEBEL THOMAS M · other
SIEBEL THOMAS M · sell · $252,237
15 signals · latest 2d ago

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