ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd.

neutral SHIFT track record → $96.35 +0.16 (+0.2%)
Get emailed when ACGL changes direction
Mkt Cap $35B P/E 8.4 fwd 9.6 52wk $82.45 - $103.39 2h ago
Insider selling: $45,781,024 sold by 18 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -0.3% (7 up, 8 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +0.3)

Factor Model

net +0.3 2.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.1
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Arch Capital's book value grows 15% annually

Watch: Monitor regulatory capital developments and catastrophe exposure updates, which could materially impact underwriting profitability and equity capital requirements.

Arch Capital Group Ltd., a $34 billion specialty insurer, trades at $97 with a tangible book value of $61.71 per share (1.56x book). The company has a 23-year track record of more than 15% annual book value growth and a 5-year average ROE of 20.1%. Regulatory capital requirement increases and more frequent catastrophic events pose risks to ROE and equity, with a modeled 1-in-250-year catastrophe costing $1.9 billion or 8.2% of tangible equity. Insurtech risk is minimal due to focus on specialty casualty reinsurance.

Sustained book value growth and strong ROE signal durable competitive advantage, but regulatory and catastrophe risks require close attention to capital efficiency and loss exposures.

Evidence

2h ago Arch Capital (ACGL), a $34B specialty insurer I've been researching. Here's my analysis. reddit-investing
2h ago Arch Capital (ACGL), a $34B specialty insurer I've been researching. Here's my analysis. reddit-investing
8d ago JP Morgan main ACGL: Neutral → Neutral
14d ago Insider sell by PASQUESI JOHN MURRAY (ACGL): $19,970,731
54d ago Arch Capital Group (ACGL) Delivers Record 2025 Operating Income and Robust ROE yahoo-finance
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Mkt Cap
$35B
P/E
8.4 fwd 9.6
Beta
0.38
52w Range
$82.45 - $103.39
Short Interest
6.5M 2.12%
Days to Cover
3.4 +23%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-2.5%
1w return
-1.2%
Insiders
selling 0B / 6S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$2.46 -0.3% 30d 7up / 8dn
Est. Dispersion
28% 19 analysts
Analyst Target
$109 $95 - $125
Options P/C
1.78
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 6S
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma, Citadel, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$4.8B +6% YoY
FCF
$1.4B
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $95M
Two Sigma $66M
Citadel $37M
Bridgewater $37M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 81
net selling · $45,781,024 sold
18 insiders · 81 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
GANSBERG DAVID E · sell · $966,444
GANSBERG DAVID E · sell · $569,266
GANSBERG DAVID E · exercise · $203,553
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · sell · $2,112,063
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · exercise · $414,477
RAJEH MAAMOUN · other
MORIN FRANCOIS · award
GANSBERG DAVID E · award
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · award
TODD CHRISTINE L · award
RAJEH MAAMOUN · award
PETRILLO LOUIS T · award
MORIN FRANCOIS · award
GANSBERG DAVID E · award
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · award
TODD CHRISTINE L · award
RAJEH MAAMOUN · award
PETRILLO LOUIS T · award
RAJEH MAAMOUN · sell · $4,558,858
RAJEH MAAMOUN · exercise · $1,286,086
PASQUESI JOHN MURRAY · sell · $19,970,731
PASQUESI JOHN MURRAY · other
PETRILLO LOUIS T · other
MORIN FRANCOIS · sell · $756,996
VOLLARO JOHN D · other
RAJEH MAAMOUN · sell · $941,464
VOLLARO JOHN D · other
MORIN FRANCOIS · sell · $1,194,576
MORIN FRANCOIS · exercise · $238,707
PASQUESI JOHN MURRAY · sell · $9,329,000
PETRILLO LOUIS T · other
PETRILLO LOUIS T · sell · $1,573,944
PETRILLO LOUIS T · exercise · $314,685
BUNCE JOHN L JR · award
PASQUESI JOHN MURRAY · award
KILCOYNE MOIRA A. · award
EBONG FRANCIS · award
TRIPLETT NEAL F. · award
MALLESCH EILEEN A · award
MOCZARSKI ALEXANDER S · award
GOODMAN LAURIE S · award
POSNER BRIAN S. · award
HOUSTON DANIEL JOSEPH · award
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · sell · $706,177
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · exercise · $145,888
PETRILLO LOUIS T · sell · $1,927,335
PETRILLO LOUIS T · exercise · $332,535
MORIN FRANCOIS · award
GANSBERG DAVID E · award
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · award
TODD CHRISTINE L · award
RAJEH MAAMOUN · award
PETRILLO LOUIS T · award
MORIN FRANCOIS · award
GANSBERG DAVID E · award
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · award
TODD CHRISTINE L · award
RAJEH MAAMOUN · award
PETRILLO LOUIS T · award
MOCZARSKI ALEXANDER S · award
VOLLARO JOHN D · other
PETRILLO LOUIS T · other
VOLLARO JOHN D · other
MORIN FRANCOIS · award
GANSBERG DAVID E · award
PAPADOPOULO NICOLAS · award
TODD CHRISTINE L · award
RAJEH MAAMOUN · award
PETRILLO LOUIS T · award
TRIPLETT NEAL F. · award
HOUSTON DANIEL JOSEPH · award
MORIN FRANCOIS · sell · $1,174,170
MORIN FRANCOIS · exercise · $238,769
BUNCE JOHN L JR · award
PASQUESI JOHN MURRAY · award
KILCOYNE MOIRA A. · award
EBONG FRANCIS · award
MALLESCH EILEEN A · award
GOODMAN LAURIE S · award
POSNER BRIAN S. · award
SUNSHINE EUGENE S · award
5 signals · latest 2h ago

Get alerted when ACGL changes direction

We'll email you when our AI detects a shift — reversals, insider clusters, filing red flags.

All stocks → Our calls → How it works →