TERN

TERN Earnings Preview

Terns Pharmaceuticals, Inc. · Healthcare · $6B

14d until earnings

TERN Earnings

Thursday, May 07 2026
EPS Estimate
$-0.25
$-0.29 – $-0.19
Current Price
$52.86

Our Position

bullish

Leerink initiates TERN at Outperform, $4.8B leukemia drug upside

structured data est. revisions rising (+8.9pp / 30d)

A major biotech analyst putting a 6-figure price target on an unproven drug is a big signal, but execution risk is real. TERN-701 hasn't cleared late-stage trials yet, so the $4.8B thesis hinges entirely on Phase 3 success and regulatory approval. This is a binary bet on a single asset masquerading as an analyst call.

Watch: Watch for TERN-701 Phase 3 data and FDA interactions — that's the catalyst that either validates or blows up Leerink's $58 target. Hedge fund accumulation matters only if the drug works.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates up +12% Insider buying cluster Put/call 10.1 (bearish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
0.0%
Est. Revisions (30d)
+12.5% 2up/1dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$54 $53–$58 +1%
Options P/C Ratio
10.10
Est. Dispersion
40% 6 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong buy (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance

Recent Activity

insider trades 35 transactions
Sell · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. (Officer) ·1,155 shares ·$44,552
Sell · QUIGLEY JILL M. (Director) ·24,520 shares ·$441,360
Sell · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. (Officer) ·942 shares ·$49,693
Sell · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE (Chief Executive Officer) ·14,583 shares ·$681,108
Exercise · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE (Chief Executive Officer) ·14,583 shares ·$67,665
30 more
Sell · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·14,583 shr ·$571,579
Sell · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·68,749 shr ·$2,548,603
Exercise · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·68,749 shr ·$318,995
Award · GENGOS ANDREW ·68,750 shr
Award · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·150,000 shr
Award · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. ·56,250 shr
Sell · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·71,339 shr ·$2,718,230
Exercise · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·171,551 shr ·$99,997
Exercise · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·24,520 shr ·$226,565
Sell · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. ·944 shr ·$7,407
Sell · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. ·853 shr ·$3,640
Buy · GENGOS ANDREW ·10,000 shr ·$39,283
Buy · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·23,314 shr ·$90,230
Buy · GENGOS ANDREW ·15,000 shr ·$57,082
Sell · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. ·952 shr ·$2,366
Sell · VIGNOLA MARK J. ·17,188 shr ·$99,024
Sell · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·15,000 shr ·$86,460
Sell · KURIAKOSE EMIL T. ·4,481 shr ·$25,607
Buy · BURROUGHS AMY LOUISE ·510 shr ·$2,606
Buy · LU HONGBO B ·476,190 shr ·$4,999,995
Sell · VIGNOLA MARK J. ·10,000 shr ·$110,000
Exercise · VIGNOLA MARK J. ·10,000 shr ·$53,600
Sell · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·17,235 shr ·$172,350
Exercise · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·17,235 shr ·$31,368
Sell · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·15,000 shr ·$113,580
Sell · GORDON CARL L ·56,164 shr ·$561,640
Sell · ORBIMED ADVISORS, L.L.C. ·56,164 shr ·$561,640
Sell · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·14,765 shr ·$147,660
Exercise · QUIGLEY JILL M. ·14,765 shr ·$26,872
Buy · YOON SEOKHO BRYAN ·4,791 shr ·$28,794
analyst ratings 1 rating
JP Morgan Overweight 8d ago
ae trade 2
3d ago
6d ago