ASTH Earnings
Thursday, May 07 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.65
$0.65 – $0.65
Revenue Estimate
$948M
Current Price
$32.55
Our Position
bullishQ4 EPS crushes consensus by 5x, stock pops 30%
structured data
This isn't just a beat; it's a credibility reset. The magnitude of the EPS surprise suggests either analyst estimates were severely off base or Astrana executed materially better than expected in Q4. A 5x EPS beat paired with an immediate 30% rally points to investor confidence in the underlying business model turning profitable.
Watch: Monitor forward guidance and margin trajectory on the next earnings call. Whether this Q4 beat was one-off or the start of sustained profitability will determine if the stock can hold these gains or if the rally was relief-driven.
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
1 bearish
Put/call 0.0 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
mixed
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
0.0%
P/E Ratio
68.4
Analyst Target (mean)
$36 $26–$50 +12%
Options P/C Ratio
0.04
Est. Dispersion
0% 1 analysts
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Citadel, Two Sigma
Recent Activity
insider trades
43 transactions
Award
·
SIM KENNETH T (Officer and Director)
·100,000 shares
Award
·
SIM BRANDON (Chief Executive Officer)
·201,056 shares
Award
·
LAM THOMAS S (Director)
·41,667 shares
Award
·
KUMAR DINESH M (Officer)
·35,300 shares
Exercise
·
SIM BRANDON (Chief Executive Officer)
·21,334 shares
·$495,802
38 more
Exercise
·
SCHMIDT DAVID
·20,000 shr
·$115,800
Exercise
·
LAM THOMAS S
·29,502 shr
·$524,546
Exercise
·
SIM KENNETH T
·29,502 shr
·$524,546
Exercise
·
MAZDYASNI MATTHEW
·20,000 shr
·$364,000
Exercise
·
KITAYAMA MITCHELL W
·12,000 shr
·$218,400
Exercise
·
MARSH LINDA
·20,000 shr
·$364,000
Exercise
·
KITAYAMA MITCHELL W
·8,000 shr
·$145,600
Exercise
·
SCHMIDT DAVID
·20,000 shr
·$364,000
Exercise
·
CHIANG JOHN
·20,000 shr
·$364,000
Award
·
CHIANG JOHN
·6,449 shr
Award
·
MARSH LINDA
·6,449 shr
Award
·
MAZDYASNI MATTHEW
·6,449 shr
Award
·
KITAYAMA MITCHELL W
·6,449 shr
Award
·
DAI WEILI
·6,449 shr
Award
·
SCHMIDT DAVID
·6,449 shr
Award
·
SOBOTKA GLENN
·14,701 shr
Award
·
SIM BRANDON
·145,642 shr
Award
·
KUMAR DINESH M
·26,701 shr
Award
·
BASHO CHANDAN
·26,701 shr
Exercise
·
KITAYAMA MITCHELL W
·3,409 shr
·$62,760
Exercise
·
CHIANG JOHN
·1,515 shr
·$27,891
Exercise
·
SIM KENNETH T
·28,046 shr
·$523,058
Award
·
SIM KENNETH T
·200,000 shr
Award
·
SIM BRANDON
·34,386 shr
Award
·
KUMAR DINESH M
·67,238 shr
Award
·
BASHO CHANDAN
·15,510 shr
Award
·
LAM THOMAS S
·40,000 shr
Exercise
·
MARSH LINDA
·11,000 shr
·$168,850
Exercise
·
KITAYAMA MITCHELL W
·11,000 shr
·$168,850
Exercise
·
CHIANG JOHN
·11,000 shr
·$168,850
Exercise
·
LAM THOMAS S
·28,046 shr
·$523,058
Exercise
·
SCHMIDT DAVID
·14,409 shr
·$231,610
Award
·
CHIANG JOHN
·3,564 shr
Award
·
MARSH LINDA
·3,564 shr
Award
·
MAZDYASNI MATTHEW
·3,564 shr
Award
·
KITAYAMA MITCHELL W
·3,564 shr
Award
·
DAI WEILI
·3,564 shr
Award
·
SCHMIDT DAVID
·3,564 shr
analyst ratings
1 rating
Baird
→Outperform
7d ago
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